Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.219367 0.233715 0.248796 0.265878 0.284746 0.305015 0.328522
2025-03-23 0.193578 0.215515 0.240150 0.270119 0.305941 0.347844 0.401262
2025-03-30 0.171967 0.197492 0.227550 0.266123 0.315163 0.376668 0.461754
2025-04-06 0.154116 0.180998 0.213775 0.257564 0.315973 0.393474 0.508372
2025-04-13 0.140274 0.167626 0.201898 0.249185 0.314800 0.406125 0.550047
2025-04-20 0.133046 0.161696 0.198567 0.251113 0.327036 0.438178 0.625473
2025-04-27 0.127898 0.157862 0.197389 0.255462 0.342712 0.477000 0.719544
2025-05-04 0.122288 0.152881 0.194080 0.256194 0.352727 0.508091 0.807330
2025-05-11 0.116542 0.147258 0.189346 0.254209 0.358016 0.531846 0.887065
2025-05-18 0.111200 0.141821 0.184420 0.251366 0.361381 0.552479 0.965693
2025-05-25 0.105584 0.135658 0.178007 0.245619 0.359167 0.562529 1.024210
2025-06-01 0.101133 0.130902 0.173335 0.242172 0.360380 0.578953 1.101835
2025-06-08 0.096887 0.126336 0.168830 0.238893 0.361989 0.597346 1.193172
2025-06-15 0.094730 0.124716 0.168683 0.242747 0.376936 0.645571 1.383004
2025-06-22 0.090997 0.120582 0.164435 0.239405 0.378175 0.665233 1.502069
2025-06-29 0.086632 0.115308 0.158134 0.232096 0.371065 0.665302 1.561647
2025-07-06 0.082604 0.110380 0.152135 0.224907 0.363492 0.663193 1.614430
2025-07-13 0.080803 0.108741 0.151247 0.226566 0.373605 0.704489 1.841933
2025-07-20 0.079555 0.107880 0.151536 0.230302 0.388355 0.760420 2.167105
2025-07-27 0.077754 0.106077 0.150183 0.230931 0.396639 0.801730 2.467292
2025-08-03 0.075609 0.103649 0.147675 0.229227 0.399677 0.829623 2.731046
2025-08-10 0.073451 0.101119 0.144878 0.226785 0.400810 0.852518 2.993616
2025-08-17 0.070952 0.097963 0.140897 0.221842 0.395803 0.856566 3.154215